The Australia Labor/Greens Federal Government continues to spread misinformation about what other countries are doing about carbon pricing. Here is a page from www.climatechange.gov.au which has the misinformation corrected. (click on the image for a large view)
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The supporters of the Labor/Green Carbon Tax introduced on the 1st July 2012 love to tell us that there are lots of other countries with carbon taxes, and that there are other countries are rushing to legislate a carbon tax. Well how to these carbon taxes compare?
Its easy to see that the biggest CO2 emitters in the world have either no Carbon Tax or a very small one covering limited areas of the economy. Only Australia which has one of the highest rate of Carbon Tax effecting most of the economy because it applies to electricity consumption.
Is it any wonder that people are sceptical about Climate Change predictions made by scientists. From the Age Melbourne August 2009. “A three-year collaboration between the Bureau of Meteorology and CSIRO has confirmed what many scientists long suspected: that the 13-year drought is not just a natural dry stretch but a shift related to climate change.”  Flood waters around Wagga March 2012
Bertrand Timbal from the Bureau of Meterology: ”In the minds of a lot of people, the rainfall we had in the 1950s, 1960s and 1970s was a benchmark. A lot of our [water and agriculture] planning was done during that time. But we are just not going to have that sort of good rain again as long as the system is warming up.”  The biggest flood in Wagga Wagga since 1974
As it rains all over South-Eastern Australia causing rivers to flood and dams to overflow, many people have commented how silly Climate Commissioner Professor Tim Flannery’s predictions of permanent drought in Australia are now. It looks even sillier when you look at a long term rainfall map for Melbourne showing the very short dry period when Professor Flannery made his predictions. Everything back to normal now:
The Copenhagen Climate Change talks in 2010 failed to produce a binding Climate Change agreement. Durban in 2011 fails as well. The result in Durban was not a binding agreement to reduce carbon dioxide output, it was an agreement to negotiate an agreement sometime before 2015, and that hypothetical agreement will cut emissions starting in 2020 – maybe. The Kyoto agreement emission requirements end on December 31st 2012. So while Australia goes forward punishing its people and businesses with a Carbon Tax the Canadian Government has announced it is withdrawing from the Kyoto agreement. The US Congress shows no sign of passing any carbon tax, the Canadians are antagonistic to any carbon tax, the EUs carbon trading scheme is barely working with the Carbon price at a new low. However that’s all OK, because Australia is going to lead the world!
 European Carbon Price collapses
Greenland has been warmer that currently several times in the last 8000 years. That is Greenland has been warmer than today, with lower levels of Carbon Dioxide levels that today. Two studies have been released over the past few weeks that show that there was less Artic Sea Ice than today, and higher temperatures. The University of Copenhagen has a study which examined driftwood deposits over the last ten thousand years, and it showed that “For several thousand years, there was much less sea ice in the Arctic Ocean – probably less than half of current amounts.” . During a period between 8000 and 5000 years ago called the Holocene Climate Optimum there was half the level of sea ice than there is today. Yet the world did not tip into “runaway climate change” as the doom-sayers predict we will today, with a higher level of ice cover. Another peer reviewed paper published by Takuro Kobashi and others shows that Greenland surface temperatures where higher than today several times over the last 4000 years. Of course you can be sure that none of these studies will be mentioned on the ABC or published in the Fairfax media.  Greenland temperatures over the last 4000 years
New York City has its earliest snowfall in 140 years. 2 million people are without power in the North Eastern United States. If this had been a long heat-wave the advocates of the AGW religion would be telling us all how this was all caused by global warming. However when its the first significant snowfall in October since 1879, they all stay pretty quiet.  The earliest snow in 140 years in Central Park New York City I was struck by a comment in this Australian story about the carbon tax passing today through the House of Representatives. Its not the first time I have seen comments that completely show no understanding of the carbon tax.
“People with respiratory complaints will most certainly benefit with what will be cleaner air for them.” . Does Charles of NSW have any idea what the carbon tax is about? Carbon Dioxide is not know for causing respiratory complaints. If the Australia Federal Government removed 100% of the carbon dioxide from the air, there would be exactly the same number of people with respiratory complaints, but unfortunately with no carbon dioxide in the atmosphere there would be no plant growth worldwide, so people who had respiratory complaints would, along with everyone else, starve to death. Eventually the real effects of the Carbon Tax will dawn on the minority of Australians that support the tax, and they may well join the majority that opposes it. However on this very day that the Carbon Tax was passed through the Australian Federal Parliament here were the top ten read stories on news.com.au, as well as that pro climate change paper, The Age. Obviously Australians care little:
Thousands of extra public servants. New public servant bureaucracies. 1129 pages and 255,539 words of legislation. How much will it decrease the earth’s temperature? zero. Here are links to the carbon tax bills: 2. Clean Energy (Consequential Amendments) Bill 2011 3. Clean Energy (Income Tax Rates Amendments) Bill 2011 4. Clean Energy (Household Assistance Amendments) Bill 2011 5. Clean Energy (Tax Laws Amendments) Bill 2011 6. Clean Energy (Fuel Tax Legislation Amendment) Bill 2011 7. Clean Energy (Customs Tariff Amendment) Bill 2011 8. Clean Energy (Excise Tariff Legislation Amendment) Bill 2011 9. Ozone Protection and Synthetic Greenhouse Gas (Import Levy) Amendment Bill 2011 10. Ozone Protection and Synthetic Greenhouse Gas (Manufacture Levy) Amendment Bill 2011 11. Clean Energy (Unit Shortfall Charge—General) Bill 2011 12. Clean Energy (Unit Issue Charge—Auctions) Bill 2011 13. Clean Energy (Unit Issue Charge—Fixed Charge) Bill 2011 14. Clean Energy (International Unit Surrender Charge) Bill 2011 15. Clean Energy (Charges—Excise) Bill 2011 16. Clean Energy Regulator Bill 2011 17. Climate Change Authority Bill 2011 18. Clean Energy (Charges—Customs) Bill 2011
The carbon dioxide levels go up every year. The IPCC (International Panel on Climate Change) forecasts show that the world should be warming more and more, yet observation does not match those computer models. England has had its coldest summer since 1993, with an average temperature of 15C. The normal average is 17C. This is not just the odd cold day, this is a entire season. Last December was the coldest December in 120 years in the UK. Is it just possible that the climate scientists have their computer models wrong? The latest CLOUD (Cosmics Leaving Outdoor Droplets) experiments at CERN show what some climate change sceptics have been saying for years, that Cosmic Rays effect cloud formation. This means that the existing computer models for cloud formation are wrong, and that the sun can have a bigger input on the earth’s atmosphere than previously thought. However our Prime Minister Julia Gillard says the science is settled.  Just maybe this object 140 million kilometres away, may have more influence of the climate than man made carbon dioxide
According to the Australian Federal Government Treasury modelling the introduction of a carbon tax will reduce Australia’s National Income. How much will it be decreased by over the 38 years to 2050? The Treasury modelling predicts that GDP (Gross Domestic Product) will be 2.8 per cent lower in 2050 than it would have been without a carbon tax. Doesn’t seem much, only 2.8%? Well try adding the reduction in GDP over the 38 years and you get $1.35 trillion dollars. That is what it will cost Australians over the next 38 years more than one trillion dollars in lost income. Imagine how many hospitals, roads and schools could be built over the next 38 years with that $1.38 trillion dollars?  Percentage GDP loss from the Carbon Tax
The Indian State of Andhra Pradesh is in the process of installing 37 coal-powered power stations over the next few years. The capacity of these extra 37 coal-fired power stations is 56GW, which compares with Australia’s total installed electricity capacity of 57GW. As an example, just one coal-fired power station at Krishnapatnam is under construction which will have a capacity of 4000MW. This compares with Victoria’s Hazelwood coal-fired power station which supplies 25% of Victoria’s power and has a capacity of just 1600MW. So the Federal Labor/Green alliance government is going to use hundreds of millions of dollars of Australian taxpayers money to close down Hazelwood power station. At the same time in India, just one (of many) Indian states is building a new coal-fired power station with twice the installed capacity of Hazelwood, as well as dozens more coal-fired power stations. So closing down Hazelwood is going to stop Climate Change?  Hazelwood Power Station soon to be replaced by an even bigger coal fired power station in India
You will not find the head of the Climate Commission Professor Tim Flannery mentioning this, because he prefers scaremongering high sea levels that are above the IPCC estimates. You will not hear Malcolm Turnbull mentioning this as he wants to respect the science and ignore “less reliable” scientists that do not fit in with his carefully self-selected science. You will not hear Prime Minister Julia Gllard mentioning this, because for her the science is settled. However a recent paper shows that Australian sea-level rise has been slowing between 1940-2000. The difference with this research is that it uses real tide-gauges rather than computer models predicting sea level increases. Another study had previously shown that “Extending the sea level record back over the entire century suggests that the high variability in the rates of sea level change observed over the past 20 years were not particularly unusual”. How will the doom-sayers cope?  This has all happened before
Treasury modelling shows coal production drops by 30% by 2020Prime Minister Julia Gillard and Treasurer Wayne Swan might keep saying that the coal industry has a bright future, but the Treasury economic modelling shows a different story. Wayne Swan said only two days ago that “Australia was going to be exporting more coal”. That way the Chinese can burn it in their power stations instead of ours. Perhaps Treasurer Swan should read some of his departments economic modelling. To quote from the Treasury modelling “In 2020, coal mining output is around 30 per cent lower than it would otherwise be” . Looking at the attached graph it shows even greater variability, with a possible drop of up to 45% in coal production:
The latest carbon ad, paid for again by the Australian taxpayer to further ‘educate’ us about renewable energy. This advertisement features Geodynamics, a renewable energy company that has spend the last ten years trying to develop geothermal energy production near Innamincka in northern South Australia. How many Megawatts has Geodynamics produced in electricity? Zero. Geodynamics has spent ten years spruiking its grand plans. This Greens/Labor Government ad states that 10 percent of Australia’s power could come from geothermal, yet in ten years with ten of millions of dollars of government subsidy Geodynamics has produced not one watt of power. Geodynamics got its first $5 million government subsidy in 2005. In April 2007 Geodynamics chief executive Adrian Williams said that by 2010 they would be provide some power into the grid, so far zero. In November 2009 Geodynamics was awarded $150 from the Renewable Energy Demonstration Program (REDP), still no power. In October 2008 Geodynamics announced it would provide a demonstration plant and provide power to the town of Innamincka, population 12, by early 2009. Now this is the company that this Labor Government advertisement is pushing as potentially providing ten percent of Australia’s base-load power. Have they managed to power the 12 people people in Innamincka in the following almost three years? No.
One of the new carbon tax ads, paid for by the Australian taxpayer to “educate” us. The start of the advertisement is about Hepburn Wind and there are two wind turbines in view. The two wind turbine shown are made by Vestas a Spanish company who manufacture their Wind turbines in Spain, China and the USA. No high-tech green jobs for Australians. We will lose high paid coal-miners and replace them with low paid workers who can dig holes for the foundations for the wind turbines. And maybe they will need someone to polish the blades? Now we should be really worriedCarbon Tax supporter Fairfax journalist Peter Martin tweets enthusiastically that 59 per cent of economists at the Economic Society support the carbon tax. We should be so relieved. Are these the same economists that did not see the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) coming? For example Peter Martin extolling the virtues of the Labor Government and how well it was doing, and how rosy the future looked in February 2008. Or the Reserve Bank in March 2008 stating that inflation was the real problem, and Australia was just due for a bit of below par growth. Of course there were those hundreds of economists in Treasury in January 2008 predicting an 18 billion dollar surplus for the Federal Government. We should so trust economists. They are so good are predicting the future. How could they get a carbon tax wrong?  the GFC so well predicted by economists. We should be fine if they say the carbon tax is OK?
Australian Prime Minister Julia Gillard has mentioned several times in the last week that former Prime Minister John Howard took an Emissions Trading Scheme (ETS) to the 2007 election. Here John Howard is interviewed by ABC carbon tax supporter Barrie Cassidy , and refutes Julia Gillard. John Howard says Australia should not move ahead of the world with a carbon tax:
Followed by former Liberal Treasurer Peter Costello on the Bolt Report who argues that Australia should not throw away its natural advantages by legislating a carbon tax. Costello says “This is all about taking away a natural advantage of Australia” and “we’re paying someone else for the right to use our own coal” A new coal mine in China, in Xinjiang Uygur being developed by Peabody Energy will produce almost as much CO2 as the CO2 emissions saved by Australia’s Carbon Tax. Peabody Energy Corporation are to develop an open cut coal mine that will produce 50 million tonnes per year of coal. This coal burnt in power stations (or anywhere else) could produce up to 142 million tonnes of CO2 annually. (the exact amount depends on the type of coal). Thats 142 million tonnes per year of extra CO2 from just one coal mine, versus the 160 million tonnes saved with an Australian Carbon Tax. Of course the Greens want to close down Australian coal mines. Just one coal mine in China wipes out the efforts in Australia costing billions of dollars and hurting millions of Australians.
 142 million tonnes of CO2 per annum from just one coal mine in China
Treasury projection 2050 Carbon Price of $131 to $275 per tonnePrime Minister Julia Gillard likes to tell the Australia people that the carbon tax will have only a small impact on them. However its only the beginning. The treasury projections for 2050 are in real terms (discounted for inflation) from a minimum of $131 per tonne to a maximum of $275 per tonne. Of course the carbon tax will be hidden as an Emissions Trading Scheme (ETS) by then, but it will still be a tax on Australian industry and people. Imagine if a $23 per tonne carbon tax causes a 10% increase in power prices (although the NSW government says it will be 20%), what will a $275 carbon tax, ten times larger do to electricity prices? Imagine what a carbon price on petrol and diesel, which the greens want to introduce, will do to fuel prices at a carbon tax of $275 per tonne?  the carbon price ever increasing |
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